Dow Theory is a cornerstone of price analysis and its principles have been time-tested over decades. An understanding of the three market phases and the trend cycle concepts within the Dow Theory can help traders make sense of the way price moves and shed new light on how bull and bear markets are created.
The Dow theory distinguishes between the accumulation phase, which is where the ‘smart money’ starts to accumulate positions very early on, and the public participation phase where the trend has become apparent to the ‘typical investor’ and retail traders. The third distribution phase is the final stage where the market tops and the smart money is unwinding their positions while the average investor is usually still adding to their positions. Let’s now take a closer look at the individual trend phases and what is important to know here.
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